Liquidity Early Warning Indicators: Eight Signals
Eight early warning signals of a cash squeeze, how to measure them, a monitoring routine and the loss-of-capital threshold in Turkish company…
OUR SERVICES
We analyse your debt structure, liquidity and debt service capacity and prepare realistic restructuring scenarios so you are financially prepared for discussions with lenders.
Financial restructuring is the analysis and planning carried out when debt payments can no longer be — or may soon not be — met from the cash the business generates. Its aim is to align the maturity, interest and collateral structure of debt with the company’s ability to pay.
Prime Numeris sets out the company’s financial position, builds the debt inventory and debt service schedule, measures repayment capacity with a 13-week cash flow and medium-term projections, and prepares the financial analysis pack for lender discussions.
COMMON CHALLENGES
Operating cash falls short of principal and interest; new loans are used to repay old ones.
Long-term assets are funded with short-term debt, raising refinancing risk.
Facilities, collateral and maturities across banks are not tracked in one place.
A restructuring request cannot be backed by projections showing repayment capacity.
Floating-rate and short-term debt push financing costs up quickly.
SCOPE OF SERVICE
Assessing the balance sheet, profitability, working capital and cash generation.
Listing all financial debt by lender, type, maturity, interest and collateral.
Analysing the maturity ladder, interest type and cost of funding.
Weekly tracking of short-term liquidity so shortfalls are visible in advance.
Three- to five-year projections of revenue, cost, capex and cash.
Calculating period-by-period coverage of debt service by available cash.
Comparing options such as maturity extension, grace periods and refinancing.
Assessing the level of debt the company can carry sustainably.
A financial analysis pack and presentation support for discussions.
In a short initial call we listen to your current situation and expectations, and define the right scope for your business together.
Management sees the full debt burden, maturities and cost in one place.
The proposed structure rests on the company’s capacity to generate cash.
Requests are backed by projections and DSCR analysis.
Short-term liquidity is tracked weekly and the process follows a plan.
A list of all financial debt with lender, type, maturity, interest, collateral and covenant details.
A calendar of principal and interest payments by period.
A model calculating the cash and DSCR impact of alternative maturity and repayment structures.
Period-by-period debt service coverage for the current structure and each scenario.
13-week and medium-term Base / Stress scenarios.
A pack summarising the financial position, projections and the proposed structure.
A plan of cash generation, cost and working capital actions.
The cash position, debt structure and short-term risks are set out within the first two to three weeks.
The debt inventory, debt service schedule and 13-week cash flow are prepared.
Medium-term projections, DSCR and debt capacity analyses are carried out.
Alternative restructuring scenarios are compared and a financial improvement plan is drawn up.
The financial analysis pack is prepared; after agreement, compliance with the repayment plan is monitored.
No. Approval depends on each lender’s own credit assessment. We make sure your request is realistic and financially well supported.
The debt service coverage ratio shows how far principal and interest due in a period are covered by cash available for debt service. A ratio below 1.0x indicates that debt service is not covered by operating cash. The exact definition depends on the loan agreement.
Cash flow management focuses on cash discipline in the normal course of business. Restructuring covers changing the debt structure and preparing for lender discussions.
Financial restructuring is the financial preparation for reorganising debt through negotiation with financial institutions. A concordat (konkordato) is a court-supervised process under the Turkish Enforcement and Bankruptcy Law; in that case the work falls under Concordat Advisory.
A financial pack is prepared: financial position analysis, debt inventory and credit structure, a 13-week cash flow, medium-term projections, DSCR analysis and restructuring scenarios. Any additional documents the lender may request are confirmed before the meeting.
Tell us briefly about your debt structure — number of lenders, total debt, upcoming maturities — and your main concern; we will discuss first steps together. Your information is treated confidentially.
Meeting request
Briefly describe your situation and we will contact you to arrange a suitable time to talk.